| 1. Identity statement | ||||
| Reference Type | Journal Article | |||
| Site | mtc-m16c.sid.inpe.br | |||
| Holder Code | isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S | |||
| Identifier | 8JMKD3MGP8W/3D7KBF8 | |||
| Repository | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m18/2012/12.14.13.40 (restricted access) | |||
| Last Update | 2012:12.14.13.40.23 (UTC) administrator | |||
| Metadata Repository | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m18/2012/12.14.13.40.23 | |||
| Metadata Last Update | 2020:05.19.14.24.04 (UTC) administrator | |||
| Secondary Key | INPE--PRE/ | |||
| ISSN | 2218-6026 2304-3679 | |||
| Citation Key | MartinsPereGuar:2012:SoRaFo | |||
| Title | Solar radiation forecast using artificial neural networks  | |||
| Project | FINEP (project 22.01.0569.00); PETROBRAS/CENPES (project 0050.0019.104.06.2); CNPq (grants 151700/2005-2, 141844/2006-0, 132148/2004-8, 555764/2010-9). | |||
| Year | 2012 | |||
| Month | Dec. | |||
| Access Date | 2024, May 16 | |||
| Secondary Type | PRE PI | |||
| Number of Files | 1 | |||
| Size | 559 KiB | |||
| 2. Context | ||||
| Author | 1 Martins, Fernando Ramos 2 Pereira, Enio Bueno 3 Guarnieri, Ricardo André | |||
| Resume Identifier | 1 2 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JH2E | |||
| Group | 1 SCE-CST-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR 2 CST-CST-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR | |||
| Affiliation | 1 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE/CPTEC) 2 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE/CPTEC) 3 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE/CPTEC) | |||
| Author e-Mail Address | 1 fernando.martins@inpe.br | |||
| Journal | International Journal of Energy Science | |||
| Volume | 2 | |||
| Number | 6 | |||
| Pages | 217-227 | |||
| Progress | ePrint update | |||
| History (UTC) | 2012-12-14 13:43:09 :: deicy -> administrator :: 2012 2020-05-19 14:24:04 :: administrator -> simone :: 2012 | |||
| 3. Content and structure | ||||
| Is the master or a copy? | is the master | |||
| Content Stage | completed | |||
| Transferable | 1 | |||
| Content Type | External Contribution | |||
| Version Type | publisher | |||
| Keywords | solar nergy forecast short-term forecast artificial neural network energy meteorology | |||
| Abstract | The fast increase in importance of the solar energy resource as viable and promising source of renewable energy has boosted research in methods to evaluate the short-term forecasts of the solar energy resource. There is an increase on demand from the energy sector for accurate short-term forecasts of solar energy resources in order to support the planning and management of the electricity generation and distribution systems. The Eta model is the mesoscale model running at CPTEC/INPE for weather forecasts and climate studies. It provides outputs for solar radiation flux at the surface, but these solar radiation forecasts are greatly overestimated. In order to achieve more reliable information, Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) were used to refine short-term forecast for the downward solar radiation flux at the surfaceprovided by Eta/CPTEC model. Ground measurements of downward solar radiation flux acquired in two SONDA sites located in Southern region of Brazil (Florianópolis and São Martinho da Serra) were used for ANN training and validation. The short-term forecasts produced by ANN have presented higher correlation coefficients and lower deviations. The ANN removed the bias observed in solar radiation forecasts provided by Eta/CPTEC model. The skill improvement in RMSE was higher than 30%when ANN was used to provide short-term forecasts of solar radiation at the surface in both measurement sites. | |||
| Area | MET | |||
| Arrangement | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção anterior à 2021 > COCST > Solar radiation forecast... | |||
| doc Directory Content | access | |||
| source Directory Content | there are no files | |||
| agreement Directory Content |
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| 4. Conditions of access and use | ||||
| Language | en | |||
| Target File | Solar Radiation Forecast Using Artificial Neural Networks.pdf | |||
| User Group | administrator deicy | |||
| Reader Group | administrator deicy | |||
| Visibility | shown | |||
| Read Permission | deny from all and allow from 150.163 | |||
| Update Permission | not transferred | |||
| 5. Allied materials | ||||
| Previous Edition | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m18@80/2008/07.22.19.39 | |||
| Next Higher Units | 8JMKD3MGPCW/3F3T29H | |||
| Citing Item List | sid.inpe.br/bibdigital/2013/10.19.20.40 2 sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21/2012/07.13.14.45.21 1 | |||
| Dissemination | WEBSCI; PORTALCAPES. | |||
| Host Collection | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m18@80/2008/03.17.15.17 | |||
| 6. Notes | ||||
| Empty Fields | alternatejournal archivingpolicy archivist callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel doi e-mailaddress format isbn label lineage mark mirrorrepository nextedition notes orcid parameterlist parentrepositories previouslowerunit rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarymark session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype typeofwork url | |||
| 7. Description control | ||||
| e-Mail (login) | simone | |||
| update | ||||